How will the recent price move fare in the US flats market?

Monday, 03 November 2014 19:19:26 (GMT+3)   |   San Diego
       

Last week, SteelOrbis reported that in the wake of the cancellation of the Russian suspension agreement, US flats mills were likely to roll out a price increase to “strike while the iron is hot.” Since then, both US Steel and AK Steel have rolled out a $1.00 cwt. ($22/mt or $20/nt) price increase, effective immediately on new orders.  At the same time, soft iron ore prices and a forecasted $30/lt dip in US domestic scrap prices for November may make the increase a tough pill to swallow.  For now, the most commonly reported spot price transaction range remains unchanged, still at $32.00-$33.00 cwt. ($705-$727/mt to $640-$660/nt), ex-Midwest mill.

On the import front, offshore producers have been chomping at the bit to build relationships with traders in hopes of picking up some extra tons, especially since Russian producers will soon be forced out of the market.  Offshore prices have continued to remain steady since our last report a week ago, although sources close to SteelOrbis say Brazilian mills may be open to negotiating deals up to $0.50 cwt. ($11/mt or $10/nt) below their average range.

 

  Cwt. Metric Ton (mt) Net ton (nt) Change from last week
US domestic        
Ex-Midwest mill        
HRC $32.00-$33.00 $705-$727 $640-$660 neutral
         
Turkey*        
HRC $28.50-$29.50 $628-$650 $570-$590 neutral
         
Russia*        
HRC $28.50-$29.50 $628-$650 $570-$590 neutral
         
Australia*        
HRC $28.50-$29.50 $628-$650 $570-$590 neutral
         
Brazil*        
HRC $29.00-$30.00 $639-$661 $580-$600 neutral
         
*DDP loaded truck US Gulf Coast ports 

 


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