According to the Economic and Steel Market Outlook 2024-2025/Q1 2024 Report from the Economic Committee of the European Steel Association (EUROFER), in the third quarter this year output of the EU steel tube industry rose by 1.3 percent year on year, after a 4.5 percent decrease in the previous quarter. The positive trend in the tube sector after the pandemic was disrupted by the war in Ukraine and supply chain issues in the second half of 2022. The energy crisis also had a tremendous effect on the sector.
According to the EUROFER report, demand for large welded tubes from the oil and gas sector is not expected to improve significantly in the longer term since the EU has accelerated its transition towards liquified natural gas (LNG) shipping for its energy needs, thereby reducing its reliance on gas transported via pipelines. On the one hand, global oil demand is not expected to support the launch or the implementation of new pipelines in the short term due to high geopolitical uncertainty and the poor global economic outlook. The EU’s oil demand is expected to drop also in 2024. On the other hand, demand from the construction sector is also set to decrease and contribute modestly to growth in output, while tube demand from the automotive and engineering sectors is expected to remain relatively stronger.
EUROFER stated that production in the EU steel tube sector is expected to decrease by 2.4 percent in 2023, milder than the initial expectation for a fall of 4.4 percent. As for 2024, tube output is forecast to grow by 1.3 percent year on year, while it is expected to move up by 0.5 percent in 2025.
