Local Chinese longs prices up $16/mt in two weeks, but negative start to new week

Monday, 23 September 2024 16:28:34 (GMT+3)   |   Shanghai

Chinese domestic rebar and wire rod prices have indicated increases over the past two weeks ending today, September 23 amid slight increases in rebar futures prices and better trading activity before the Mid-Autumn Festival early last week. However, the market has opened negatively today as weak demand prospects persist and there is insufficient support from the government for the struggling real estate sector. Also, iron ore prices have fallen below the $90/mt CFR mark again.

The average rebar price has increased by RMB 110/mt ($16/mt) compared to September 9, while the average 6.5 mm HPB 300 wire rod price has seen a rise of RMB 93/mt ($13.2/mt) over the same period. Rebar prices have decreased by RMB 37/mt ($5.3/mt) compared to the previous trading day, September 20.

During the past two weeks, rebar and wire rod prices have moved on an uptrend amid the consumption of inventories. Currently, the inventory of rebar and wire rod on the stockists’ side is at relatively low levels, bolstering prices. However, steelmakers’ capacity utilization rates have increased, which will likely exert a negative impact on prices. Downstream users will build up some stocks ahead of the National Day holiday (October 1-7), which will positively affect market sentiments. At the same time, Jiangsu Province-based Shagang Group has raised its offer prices for debar-in-coil and rebar by RMB 100/mt ($14/mt) for September 21-30.

Despite some cautious optimism prevailing earlier this month, negative sentiments have persisted. “The US Federal Reserve’s action does not have a direct influence on Chinese central bank policy and only some minor change was seen in 14-day interest rates today. A negative market mood persists and physical sales are slower, with pressure to sell, and prices have been adjusted down by RMB 20-50/mt in most regions,” a Chinese trader stated.

As of September 23, rebar futures at Shanghai Futures Exchange are standing at RMB 3,087/mt ($433.5/mt), increasing by RMB 9/mt ($1.3/mt) or 0.3 percent since September 9, while down 3.35 percent compared to the previous trading day, September 20.

Average domestic rebar and wire rod prices in China's main markets are presented in the tables below.

Rebar prices in local markets

Spec. (mm) - Category

City

Price (RMB/mt)

Price 
($/mt)

2 Weeks change 
(RMB/mt)

2 Weeks change 
($/mt)

25 - HRB400

Beijing

3,300

467.9

180

28.4

Guangzhou

3,380

479.2

100

17.2

Shanghai

3,230

458.0

50

10.0

Average price

3,303.3

468.4

110

18.5

All prices include 13 percent VAT and all prices are ex-warehouse.

 Wire rod prices in local markets

Spec. (mm) - Category

City

Price

(RMB/mt)

Price ($/mt)

2 Weeks

change (RMB/mt)

2 Weeks change 
($/mt)

6.5 - HPB300

Beijing

3,780

535.9

120

20.4

Guangzhou

3,650

517.5

120

20.3

Shanghai

3,790

537.4

40

9.1

Average price

3,740.0

530.3

93

16.6

8 - HPB300

Beijing

3,600

510.4

120

20.2

Guangzhou

3,590

509.0

120

20.2

Shanghai

3,500

496.2

40

8.9

Average price

3,563.3

505.2

93

16.4

All prices include 13 percent VAT and all prices are ex-warehouse.

$1 = RMB 7.053

EuniceOuyang
Eunice Ouyang
Editor
All Articles by the Author

I graduated from University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, with 16 years of deep expertise in the steel industry. I am responsible for steel-related news and intelligence, as well as leading the content team in China.

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