Sharp decline in local German scrap market

Tuesday, 29 November 2022 17:23:27 (GMT+3)   |   Istanbul

Despite the initial expectations of a movement in a narrow price range during November, domestic scrap prices in Germany have fallen significantly over the past month. According to sources, “This is a reflection of the decline observed on the export side, and also the lower demand received from the German mills.” During September, local German scrap prices did not follow the global trend and indicated a relatively stable trend, hence the decrease recorded in November was larger compared to other regions.

However, SteelOrbis hears that the recovery of scrap demand received from Turkey is supporting the local German scrap market. In the east of the country, mills are increasing their procurement quotations to maintain scrap flow, which has been quiet low. As mentioned in previous reports, German collectors are in no rush to accept new contracts, just interested in meeting their commitments rising from the previous deals with German producers. “Everything I sell from now on carries the risk of me paying higher taxes. Even if I collect scrap, I will stock it and wait for next year,” a sub-collector in Germany commented. German sources expect prices in the local market to move up in line with the international market and are hopeful for better quotations at the beginning of 2023.

According to the latest data provided by the BDSV, in the first 20 days of November scrap prices moved down by €5.3-21.2/mt month on month. Additionally, the year-on-year decrease is now in the range of €56.2-116.3/mt. Prices are average prices for domestic transactions across Germany in the first 20 days of the given month. The prices are provided by Bundesvereinigung Deutscher Stahlrecycling-und Entsorgungsunternehmen e.V. (BDSV).

Scrap grade

Price: November 2022(€/mt)

Price: October 2022(€/mt)

Price: November 2021 (€/mt)

Monthly Change (€/mt)

Annual change (€/mt)

E1 - Old steel scrap

276.1

297.3

336.3

-21.2

-60.2

E2/E8 - New steel scrap

330.6

346

446.9

-15.4

-116.3

E3 - Heavy old steel scrap

319.7

326.3

396.2

-6.6

-76.5

E40 - Shredded scrap

340.3

345.6

396.5

-5.3

-56.2

E5M - Steel turnings

240.5

251.4

325.2

-10.9

-84.7

Specifications:

E1 - Old steel scrap: thickness ≥ 4 mm, maximum dimensions 1,5 m x 0,5 m x 0,5 m
E2/E8 - New steel scrap: maximum dimensions 1,5 m x 0,5 m x 0,5 m
E3 - Heavy old steel scrap: thickness ≥ 6 mm, maximum dimensions 1,5 m x 0,5 m x 0,5 m
E40 - Shredded scrap: excluding incinerator steel scrap and collection scrap; density ≥ 1,1 mt/m3, Fe ≥ 92%
E5M - Turnings: excluding iron and automatic steel turnings

AyçaÖzbay
Ayça Özbay
Editor
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I graduated from the Faculty of Business Administration at Istanbul University and have been part of SteelOrbis since 2014. After six years in the Content Team, I joined the Market Intelligence department, where I now serve as Head of Ferrous Scrap Market Intelligence. In my role, I lead our global ferrous scrap market intelligence activities, overseeing price assessments, market analysis, and forecasting while working closely with industry participants across international markets. My focus is on tracking global ferrous scrap trade flows, pricing dynamics, and supply-demand fundamentals, providing data-driven insights that help market participants navigate an increasingly complex steel industry.

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