Global View on Billet: China rules the market with deal prices surging by $30/mt this week

Friday, 10 September 2021 17:38:42 (GMT+3)   |   Istanbul
       

China's import billet market has been in the spotlight in the global arena this week with plenty of deals done from different neighbouring and distant suppliers. Deal prices have surged by $30/mt from $690/mt CFR at the highest last Friday to $720/mt CFR by the end of this week.

- Checks at steel mills in Jiangsu started on September 8 and the producers there will have to cut utilization rates to not above 50 percent in September-October to lower emissions and reduce energy consumption. “There is a rumour that Shagang and other steel mills in Jiangsu Province were told by the central government to cut production in September by 60-70 percent,” a trading source said, though no official announcement has been made.

- Moreover, the Chinese government has announced that it will prolong steel production cuts up to mid-March, 2022, aiming to combat environmental pollution during the winter heating season and in the lead-up to the Beijing Winter Olympics 2022.

- CIS billet suppliers have been interested in sales to China. 80,000-10,000 mt of billet were traded from Russia’s Far East region during the past week at $700-720/mt CFR. And at least one cargo of 50,000 mt from Ukraine was sold to China in the middle of the week at $705/mt CFR. With the support of the Chinese market, the reference price for Black Sea origin billet reached $607.5/mt FOB on average or $595-620/mt FOB on September 10.

- Almost 100,000 mt of billets from the Middle East have been sold to China this week with the latest contract level at $715/mt CFR.

- Indian steelmaker RINL closed two tenders at $591/mt FOB and $622/mt FOB this week, reflecting the strong buying indications in China.

- An Iran-based steel billet supplier closed its tender for 20,000 mt of steel billet at $629/mt FOB, targeting China. Though prices have increased and Iranian mills have some freight cost advantage compared to other sellers to China, overall export volumes from Iran have still been limited.

- Today different mills started to offer at $730/mt CFR China as optimism is observed for next week and rebar futures prices have been showing a further increase.

- Billet imports have revived slightly in Turkey, although the workable levels have remained low - $100/mt below the level in China. Accordingly, Turkish buyers, which have been delaying purchases for a while now, may not get their needed allocation even if they are ready to pay higher levels. One deal has reportedly been closed at $620/mt CFR Iskendenderun, while one seller has traded a total of 12,000 mt at $612/mt CFR northern Turkey and $617/mt CFR Izmir.


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