Ex-China billet price drops again due to futures, iron ore slump, poor demand support

Monday, 23 September 2024 17:18:53 (GMT+3)   |   Istanbul

Ex-China reference price for 3SP billet has lost $10/mt today, on September 23, coming to $425-435/mt FOB as concerns about weak Chinese demand have been strong and the government support of local demand has been insufficient to change weak fundamentals.

“I believe $425-430/mt FOB is achievable in negotiations, as we are back where we were in early Sept,” a trader said.

There have been no adjustments in ex-ASEAN billet offers with ex-Indonesia price being at $440/mt FOB on Friday.

The average local billet price in China has lost RMB 45/mt ($6.4/mt) over a day to RMB 2,913/mt ($413/mt) ex-warehouse. The most popular rebar futures have dropped by 3.35 percent at Shanghai Futures Exchange over a day, being the major signal of weak sentiments.

Today, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) injected RMB 74.5 billion into the banking system via 14-day reverse repurchase operations with a rate of 1.85 percent, down by 0.10 percentage points compared to the previous round. Most analysts assess the move as insufficient to support economy and not as major monetary policy easing after FED cut, as usually China used 14-day repos to help the banking system over long holidays [in October 1-7].

Also, iron ore prices have lost $2.2/mt today, coming to $89/mt CFR. Two deals for 170,000 mt 61 percent Pilbara fines each have been closed at $88.5/mt CFR and $88.45/mt CFR, respectively, both for end October-early November laycan. “Iron ore reflects weak steel market and I do not foresee strong replenishment ahead of holidays,” a trader said.

$1 = RMB 7.053

AnastasiaKononenko
Anastasia Kononenko
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I hold a Bachelor's degree in Journalism and Economics from Oles Honchar National University in Ukraine. I have 15 years of experience in the steel media industry, including the past seven years at SteelOrbis, where I lead the Market Intelligence team responsible for coordinating coverage of Asian steel and raw material markets. My areas of expertise also include global markets for billet, slabs, pig iron and HBI, with a focus on market analysis and industry trends.

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