How much higher can US HDG prices go?

Tuesday, 15 June 2021 11:42:30 (GMT+3)   |   San Diego
       

US domestic HDG and Galvalume coil prices have climbed yet again, sources note adding that many have started to wonder when the 10+ month pricing uptrend will come to an end. At current, base price HDG spot market prices have risen by 55% since the first week of January, when ex-mill offers were trending at $60-$62 cwt. ($1,323-$1,367/mt or $1,200-$1,240/nt.)

On one hand, data from the American Iron and Steel Institute notes that for week ending June 12, 2021, domestic mills’ capacity utilization rate was recorded at 82.6%, which is on-par with pre-COVID production levels. On the other hand, backlogged orders, the minimal availability of spot market tons, a limited availability of import tons, and still-long domestic mill lead times means that mills “are still in the driver’s seat.”

“For as crazy as these prices are, I don’t think we’re at the top yet,” a source said. “In fact, I’d be surprised if we peaked before the start of Q4.” 

This week’s prices are listed in the chart below.

 

Product $/cwt $/mt $/nt Last week Delivery
US domestic HDG base price $93-$96 $2,050-$2,116 $1,860-$1,920 $91-$92 ex-mill
0.012” G30 HDG coil  $103+ $2,271+ $2,060+ $101+ ex-mill
           
           
US domestic Galvalume base price $93-$96 $2,050-$2,116 $1,860-$1,920 $91-$92 ex-mill
           
           
0.019x41.5625 Gr80/AZ55 $104+ $2,293+ $2,080+ $102+ ex-mill

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