US industrial scrap and cut grade scrap prices move in opposite directions

Monday, 09 June 2008 02:28:57 (GMT+3)   |  
       

With the tight industrial scrap supply, busheling scrap prices have gone up by approximately $70 to $80 /long ton (lt) in June. On the contrary, cut grade scrap prices have decreased by approximately $20 to $30/ lt this month due to adequate tonnage availability.

Currently, Midwest busheling scrap prices are in the range of $775 to $785 /lt, though in some regions they are as high as $800 /lt. Shredded scrap is sold for $550 to $560 /lt, while HMS I ranges from $495 to $505 /lt.

The gap between industrial scrap and cut grade scrap prices has widened even further this month; the current price difference between busheling and shredded scrap is about $225 /lt, whereas the price difference was around $110 /lt in May.

It is expected that industrial scrap prices will go up again in July because of the usual summer time plant shutdowns as well as the cutback in production of SUVs and pickup trucks. In addition, the tight pig iron market and high pig iron prices, which are at over $950 /mt from Brazil and Russia, are leading pig iron buyers to purchase industrial scrap instead because of the lower prices. This trend is further tightening the industrial scrap supply.

Meanwhile, the supplies of shredded scrap and HMS I have been sufficient to meet the market's demand, and therefore, cut grade scrap prices have been trending downward.

There has been some confusion in the US scrap market this month as regards pricing, since the only automaker that held a factory bundles auction with OmniSource this month, Chrysler, had the bidders sign nondisclosure agreements. The monthly factory bundles auction usually gives an indication for where scrap prices will go, and with the Chrysler factory bundle auction selling prices being unknown, market players were given no clear direction as to where scrap prices would settle in June. (Due to the sluggish auto industry, the General Motors and Ford Motors are not currently holding any factory bundle auctions.) However, it eventually became apparent that busheling increased by $70 to $80 /lt and shredded came down by $20 to $30 /lt from the previous month.

On the export side, prices are trending sideways to slightly down, as there are adequate materials available in the market, and scrap buying activity from Turkey has been quiet in the past three weeks due to pricing uncertainty. SteelOrbis has been informed that a Turkish mill has concluded a booking for a single cargo of scrap ex-US last week. The cargo is composed of 13,000 mts of HMS I/II 80:20 scrap booked at $723/mt CIF Iskenderun, 10,000 mts of shredded scrap booked at $728/mt CIF Iskenderun and 2,000 mts of P&S scrap booked at $733/mt CIF Iskenderun. Freight rates from US East Coast to Turkey had reached the level of $100/mt at the end of May.

USITC data show that the top recipients of shredded scrap from the US in March were: Taiwan, at 98,000 mt; Turkey and Mexico, at 87,000 mt; Egypt, at 72,000 mt; and South Korea, at 53,000 mt. Malaysia, Peru, India and China also imported some tonnage of shredded scrap from the US during the period.

For HMS I grade scrap, the top recipients from the US in March were: Turkey, at 133,000 mt; South Korea, 80,000 mt; and Egypt, at 71,000 mt. Some other countries which imported HMS I grade scrap from the US in March include Taiwan, Malaysia, Mexico and Thailand.

US scrap export figures have been increasing since the beginning of the year. The total amount of ferrous scrap exports from the US in March was 1,214,000 mt, which is an increase of 161,000 mt when compared to the figure of 1,053,000 mt in February.

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