Export sales more attractive for US scrap suppliers than domestic sales

Monday, 18 January 2016 17:06:46 (GMT+3)   |   San Diego
       

Although US East coast export offers to Turkey have increased in January due to the rise seen in demand from Turkish steel producers, the rises ex-US scrap offers have failed to gain acceptance in Turkey amid the oversupply created by scrap suppliers who are seeking to conclude new sales. At the beginning of last week, ex-US HMS I/II 80:20 scrap prices were at $193/mt CFR, while an ex-US deal in Turkey for the same grade scrap was concluded at $185.75/mt CFR at the end of the week.
 
US domestic scrap prices for HMS I/II may have settled up during the January buy cycle, at approximately $10.16/mt ($10/gt) on the East Coast and by approximately $20.32-$25.40/mt ($20-$25/gt), in the Ohio Valley, Pittsburgh-Cleveland area, but this month's upward pricing trend has not reached levels needed to attract the eyes of exporters.
 
"Turkish mills' desired prices may not be attractive but selling export is still a better deal than selling domestic, because you'll need to pay freight costs to move scrap inland," one source said.  "Unless something crazy happens in the domestic market, and prices jump up substantially in February, there's no cost advantage to selling domestically."
 
In terms of early-sentiment for February prices within the US market, opinions are currently mixed, as firmed January scrap prices were directly tied to mills' low scrap inventory levels and were compounded by scrap yards' still-inhibited inflow.  It should also be noted that although the most recent data from the American Iron and Steel Industry (AISI) indicates that for the week ending Jan. 9, 2016, the capacity utilization rate increased by 10.7 percent week-on-week to 66.7 percent, it is still down 11.8 percent from the same reporting period last year.

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