Flats markets see supply-demand equilibrium

Tuesday, 24 April 2007 11:43:07 (GMT+3)   |  
       

The latest price levels announced by the CIS producers indicate that the supply-demand situation in the flats market has reached a kind of equilibrium. Prices are in general close to the levels of the previous month.
 
Ukrainian steelmaker Ilyich production hot rolled coils are being offered at $570-575/mt CFR Turkey for late June shipments. However, there are also offers beginning from $580/mt CFR Turkey level for spot materials. These offers for spot materials are open to bargain. Zaporizhstal, another Ukrainian steelmaker, is offering hot rolled coils at $605/mt CFR Turkey for June shipments. On the other hand, cold rolled coils ex-same mill are being offered at $685/mt CFR Turkey, also for June shipments. However, it is heard that the sales are being concluded at lower prices.
 
Russian steelmaker MMK is offering hot rolled coils at $660/mt CFR Turkey for June shipments. Meanwhile, the producer is offering cold rolled coils at $715/mt CFR Turkey, also for June shipments. The mill's offer levels for Turkey have maintained the levels of the previous month.
 
The offer levels for Russian steelmaker Severstal's flat rolled products for shipment to Turkey are at $675/mt CFR for HRC (big coil), at $665/mt CFR for HRC (small coil), and at $745/mt CFR for CRC. The offers are effective for early July shipments. Due to the strong domestic market conditions in Russia, there is no official export destination for Severstal materials to be produced in May for July shipments. However, the producer is open to bids from buyers.
 
Traders are also offering Egyptian mill Hadisolb production hot rolled coils at $580/mt FOB for export to Turkey. On the other hand, traders are offering EZDK -another Egyptian mill- production hot rolled coils at $635-640/mt FOB, also for export to Turkey. These prices may decline this week.
 
In the local Italian market, hot rolled coils are being offered at €520/mt, excluding VAT. The Italian market has been calm since last week. It seems that the prices announced by the CIS mills will determine the direction of the local market in Italy.
 
It is matter of concern how developments in China will influence the global markets in the near future. The clarification of the export tax rebate issue may cause trading levels to increase in the short run, as this cause of hesitancy in the market has now been removed. Another awaited development is the return to the market of the US mills. The US flats market is still calm; however, the orders that will be given by US buyers to the CIS mills will be effective in determining the market direction.

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