Are US HDG spot market prices set for an uptrend?

Monday, 24 October 2016 17:45:29 (GMT+3)   |   San Diego
       

The months-long downtrend in US domestic hot dipped galvanized (HDG) coil spot market prices could be coming to an end.

NLMK USA, California Steel Industries, US Steel and Nucor Sheet Mill Group have all announced they will be implementing a $1.50 cwt. ($33/mt or $30/nt) price increase on flat rolled steel products, including US domestic HDG coil, effective for all new orders.
The big question, buyers say, is whether this price increase will take immediate hold, or if it will merely set a bottom for US HDG spot market prices. 

“We all expected the price increase announcements were coming,” one Midwest-based source said, adding that opinions as to whether the current increase “will move the price needle north” are split.  “I think a lot of people are going to take a moment to look at their needs, where they anticipate their sales will be and what their inventories look like before they rush out and book large orders,” another source said.  “When people do jump in, prices will firm and lead times will stretch out.”

Current ex-Midwest mill lead times are still trending at “about five weeks,” a third source added.

At current, the most commonly heard spot market price transaction range for base-price US domestic HDG coil continues to hold at $35-$36 cwt. ($772-$794/mt or $700-$720/nt), ex-Midwest mill, reflecting no change since our last report a week ago.

 

  Cwt. Metric Ton (mt) Net ton (nt) Change from last week
US domestic HDG base price $35-$36 $772-$794 $700-$720 neutral 
         
0.012”x40.875” G30        
ex-Midwest mill $42-$44 $926-$970 $820-$880 neutral 
         
0.019”x48” G90        
ex-Midwest mill $42-$44 $926-$970 $840-880 neutral 
         
US domestic Galvalume base price        
ex-Midwest mill $34-$36 $750-$794 $680-$720 neutral 
         
0.019x41.5625 Gr80/AZ55        
ex-Midwest mill $42-$44 $926-$970 $840-880 neutral 

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