4th week CIS market review: Export markets show continued strength

Wednesday, 31 January 2007 17:43:29 (GMT+3)   |  
       

During the fourth week of 2007, the demand from the export markets for CIS-origin products remained strong for all product varieties. However, the strong demand from the external markets did not end up in price rises for flats products, which instead continued to retain their previous levels. As for the CIS domestic markets, the worsening of the weather in Russia led to the slowdown of the recently revived market, in turn causing a drop in prices. Scrap: CIS export market still strong During the fourth week, the Black Sea region scrap market continued to be governed by an upward trend in regard to market activity. Due to the high demand from both the Turkish domestic and export markets for long products and billets, the traditional importers of CIS-origin scrap did not slow down their purchases. Although the majority of purchases were made on deep sea scrap, A3 grade scrap was also in demand, though the volume of it offered to the market was considerably smaller. On the price front, during the week ended January 28, thanks to the active purchases of the Turkish steel mills, the CIS scrap exporters were able to increase their prices by $5-10/mt. The Russian domestic scrap market retained its stable characteristics during the fourth week of 2007. However, the worsening of the weather conditions last week as well as the high demand for scrap in Russia's export markets and also the lessening of the scrap stocks of local mills, may lead to a sharpening of the situation in the Russian domestic market. But as of last week, the scrap quotations in the Russian domestic market were stable. The Ukrainian domestic market, surprisingly enough, continued its stable trend during the fourth week as well. Compared to the situation in the Ukrainian domestic scrap market in 2006, where the mills were constantly raising their prices, the first four weeks of 2007 may be considered as a record as regards stability for the Ukrainian market. In the course of the week ended January 28, scrap in the Ukrainian domestic market was quoted in a price range of UAH 1,045 – 1,100/mt ($207-218). Long Products: return of winter in Russia leads to market deterioration The long products markets of the Middle East and Gulf regions continued to be the main attraction for CIS origin semis during the fourth week of the year. The high demand for the products in the regions in question allows CIS billets exporters not only increase their sales but also to increase their prices. Thus, in the fourth week the CIS origin billets increased by nearly $20/mt. CIS-origin long products saw some positive corrections for their export markets during the week in question as well. However the upward price trend impacted on different product categories during the fourth week. Whereas wire rod and rebar prices experienced the upward trend during the third week, during the week ended January 28, export quotations for CIS-origin structural steel rose by $5-10/mt. During the fourth week of the year, the Russian domestic long products market started to experience a negative trend due to the worsening of weather conditions. Because of the favorable weather during the first half of January many construction firms resumed their activities in the market and therefore caused a regeneration in rebar prices. However, the return of the usual Russian winter weather during last week pushed rebar prices down. Thus in the course of the fourth week, rebar in the Russian local market decreased in price by an average of five percent. But traders continue to import from Turkey and Egypt for spring. During the fourth week, the Ukrainian domestic longs market continued to show downward characteristics. Thus, rebar prices dropped by UAH 10/mt ($2), while beam and angle decreased by UAH 8/mt ($1.5) each. Flat rolled: CIS export offers assume stability The CIS-origin flat rolled prices saw a halt to their upward movement in the export markets during the fourth week. Although demand from the Middle East and Gulf regions is still high for CIS-origin flats, export quotations did not see much fluctuation during the week in question. In the fourth week, the Russian domestic flats market experienced different trends. If HR and CR showed some negative movement during the week – HR decreased by on average Ruble 60/mt ($2) while CR declined by on average Ruble 100/mt ($3), galvanized steel increased in price by an average of Ruble 120/mt ($4). The state of the Ukrainian domestic flats market continued to push prices down in the week ended January 28. Thus, HR decreased by UAH 5/mt ($1), CR dropped by UAH 25/mt ($5), while galvanized steel fell by UAH 30/mt ($6) in the Ukrainian domestic market during the week in question.

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