Chinese semis market sees general stability

Thursday, 14 December 2006 12:04:08 (GMT+3)   |  
       

SteelOrbis Shanghai The Chinese semi finished steel market saw stable movement over the past week. Common carbon billet prices performed strongly, while 20MnSi billet and slab were in soft condition with a slight decline seen in some regions. On December 13, the price of common carbon billet in Tangshan, Hebei Province was at RMB 2,740/mt ($350/mt), while that of 20MnSi was down RMB 20/mt ($3/mt) to RMB 2,800/mt ($358/mt). Meanwhile, the ex-factory price of slab from Laiwu Steel was at RMB 2,850/mt ($364/mt), equal to the level of the previous week. In recent days, China's finished steel market moved in a steady trend on the whole, excepting the price decreases in long products and narrow strip in northern areas. The Chinese semis market, however, continued stable in this region. In northern China, the local market saw a sharp decrease in rebar with just a slight decline in 20MnSi billet. In comparison with the north, billet prices maintained a strong trend in eastern and southern China. Due to the ongoing transportation problems, northern semis and long products were unable to flow into the southern regions, leading to an insufficient supply of billet in these markets. As a result, semis producers in the south enjoyed good trading activities, and had very little stock left in their factories. Although the Chinese government has taken measures to curb semis exports, it seems impossible to achieve the desired results with just a 10 percent interim tariff. Semis exports in November broke the highest monthly record of the last two years. Moreover, even with the slight increase in the quotations from the Chinese mills, there are still many inquiries from Southeast Asia in December. This is an indication of the brisk demand in this region and its dependence on China's semi finished steel. In addition, since late October, the South Korean rolling mills had continued to stand aside, waiting and watching the market feedback on the new semis tariff. As a result, they declined to make any big purchases from China, mainly depending on their own inventory. However, sources report that these South Korean mills are now thought to have run out of semis inventory and so are planning to make large-quantity purchases in the upcoming days - all of which is music to the ears of China's semis producers. As regards slab, the market showed a soft trend during the past week. Prices in both northeastern and northern China saw some reduction. The leading mills in eastern China did not lower their ex-factory prices, while the trading volume was very low. Generally speaking, supported by international and domestic demand, China's billet prices will remain stable. In spite of the weak trend at present, the slab market is unlikely to drop sharply in the short term, because more than two HR production lines are due to commence operations, and this will relieve the supply pressure to a certain extent.

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